Philadelphia has allowed at least five runs in five of their last seven games. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 484 runs with a .254 batting average and a .324 on base percentage.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Minnesota Twins have 7 batters in the projected lineup that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. While Ober has only had two scoreless outings this season, he has only blown up just once. He’s good at limiting hard contact while doing everything else at an above-average level. He is a perfectly fine pitcher — solid and above-average with a 4.14 ERA and 3.63 xERA. Ranger Suarez has gone from middle reliever to back-of-the-rotation starter to Cy Young candidate for the Phillies. While the Twins don’t strike out at a high rate, the lineup has less power and a lower wOBA against righties than lefties.
Twins vs Phillies Odds & Moneyline
According to our model, the Twins (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8 runs has a 51% chance of staying under. The Twins will have Simeon Woods Richardson (3-1, 3.51 ERA) as their starting pitcher, up against Zack Wheeler (10-4, 2.70 ERA) for the Phillies. If so, check your eligibility for Bet365 bonus code “DIMERS”, which unlocks an $1,150 betting bonus in Pennsylvania for the first time week. A first five innings moneyline is a wager that only takes into account the outcome of a game’s first five innings.
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The Minnesota Twins have turned 48 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (10th in professional baseball). The Twins have racked up 757 assists, 47 errors and have a total of 2,638 putouts this year. In their 7,914 innings on the diamond, the Twins have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 70.5% (9th in professional baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have a tally of 2,686 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 902 assists and 57 errors.
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The bullpen pitchers have inherited 87 base runners this season with 36.8% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have 26 saves for the season and have missed out on 15 out of their 41 chances to get a save. The Phillies bullpen have a save percentage of 63.4% and stepped onto the hill in 93 save situations.
- His hard-hit rate is starting to increase and he issued seven free passes during the three-start stretch.
- The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average.
- Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets and props.
- According to our model, the Twins (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8 runs has a 52% chance of staying under.
- The Phillies will pitch Zack Wheeler in the second game of the series.
- Both betting on underdogs and favorites will return your initial stake on top of your payout with a successful bet.
- As long as they keep throwing the ball well, the Twins can win this game.
Phillies Team Props
The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road to take on the Minnesota Twins Tuesday night. Below we will continue our MLB odds series with a Phillies-Twins prediction and pick. Jason Bevilacqua, phillies twins prediction an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets and props. He has contributed insightful articles at Dimers since 2020 as Head of Social and Community.
Minnesota Twins (55- vs Philadelphia Phillies (63-
- Philadelphia is scoring just under five runs per game this season, so if they just stick to their average, they will win this game.
- The Philadelphia Phillies have won 10 of their last 12 games when scoring 4 or more runs.
- Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
- The Phillies have dispatched 311 relievers to the mound for the year.
- The Twins have racked up 757 assists, 47 errors and have a total of 2,638 putouts this year.
- He’s not nearly as consistent as Wheeler and has only struck out 21.3% of batters over the previous month.
- In his past four starts, he’s allowed 19 runs, 17 of them earned.
They are 15-5 in games started by Nola this season and they are a good bet to add another one on Wednesday. Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks. That’s especially true against a Phillies offense that ranks inside the top five in the league in OPS, runs scored and hits in the 2024 season. I think the Phillies break out the bats and get it going here for the win and for the series W as well.
Phillies vs. Twins best bet
Philadelphia continues to struggle over the last couple of weeks, but they do remain 8.5 games ahead of Atlanta in the NL East standings. Minnesota has been a very streaky team so far this season and they are in a battle with Cleveland and Kansas City in the AL Central. The Twins will start Woods Richardson, who has been very solid for them this year. The Phillies are going with Wheeler, who has been lights out in his last four outings.
Phillies vs. Twins MLB Betting Trends
The Phillies maintained their lead in the Major League Baseball standings with a record and avoided defeat in Pittsburgh. Philadelphia has been the best team in the league all year and will be a good opponent for the Twins. Our model’s biggest edge in today’s Phillies vs. Twins matchup is on the moneyline. “Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday’s Phillies-Twins game 10,000 times,” said Dimers’ Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade. Let’s dive into everything you need to know to bet on the opening game of this interleague series.
Do most people bet on the underdog?
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We predict the Phillies, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Twins on Wednesday. “With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Phillies’ chance of winning at 52%, with the Twins at 48%.” Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 2.8% ROI). Originally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VSIN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins Pick 7/24/24 MLB Predictions
- Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or new to the scene, our platform provides all the information you need to place your baseball bets with confidence.
- The Philadelphia Phillies are not only the better side, but Ranger Suarez has been CY Young good.
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- The odds and lines presented in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.
- Decimal odds are the most common format used by European sportsbooks.
- The Philadelphia Phillies will look to win the rubber match of the series after evening the set up at one win apiece thanks to a 3-0 win in Tuesday’s matchup.
- Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions.
- In the top of the 8th inning with two outs, the odds have adjusted to reflect the current score (Diamondbacks are the favorite to win at -270 odds, pre-game odds were -133).
One thing he does very well is get opposing teams to chase pitches off the plate. With his chase rate, walk rate, and ability to induce weak contact, Nola should be able to have a good game against the Twins Wednesday night. The Phillies show mixed signals in their recent betting trends. They have struggled in their last few outings with a 2-4 straight-up record but have a strong performance history against American League Central teams (6-2 SU). Their ability to perform well mid-week (7-2 SU on Wednesdays) may offer a slight edge. The Phillies are set up to have their three best pitchers on the mound for this series.
- The potential National League Cy Young award candidate has allowed a .181 ISO and wOBA of .378 to his last 102 batters.
- He has used his fastball 38.9% this season, down nearly 10% from previous years.
- Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.20 (897 strikeouts vs 248 walks).
- His performance shows that he is a candid and weak pitcher especially in terms of the number of hits and walks he gave per innings as compared to Nola.
- As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, which is 4th in MLB.
- The Phillies have not confirmed a starter for Wednesday’s game.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins 7/24/24 Betting Picks
As long as they keep throwing the ball well, the Twins can win this game. Kyle Schwarber has 19 home runs, 55 RBIs and a team-high 114 strikeouts as well this season. Despite the Twins being underdogs with a moneyline of +130 and an implied win probability of 42%, THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, gives them a 47% chance to win. This suggests there might be value in betting on the Twins, especially considering public reluctance to back underdogs. The game total is set at 8.0 runs, indicating an average scoring affair.
Sports Betting Resources
It is even harder to bet against Zack Wheeler with how he is pitching, as well. I am going to trust my gut, and bet on the better pitcher here. Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best MLB bets for every game throughout the season.
MLB Run Totals (Over/Under Bets)
Conversely, Suarez will compete against Bailey Ober of the Twins. Ober is a right-handed pitcher, who has tallied 33% of strikeouts over the last month. The Twins righty has also allowed just 4% of walks and has given up only 17.5% of line drives in the previous 30 days. That’s one of the many reasons for his wOBA of .246 against his last 100 batters faced. The sportsbooks believe the Phillies are more likely to win Game 1.
View the odds for each matchup per sportsbook to find the best opportunities. Suarez has still induced a high rate of grounders, but he’ll be in line to face a Twins lineup that has struck out just 11.8% of the time against lefties over the last month. This projected lineup is filled with only righties to go up against Suarez, the lefty. Ober is an above-average pitcher, but the Phillies’ elite lineup is finally back to full strength. Ober is a fly-ball pitcher who allows too many barrels, and Philadelphia should be able to attack his fastball.
Predictions
Decimal odds are the most common format used by European sportsbooks. As the name implies, they are decimal numbers and always positive. Decimal odds of 1.59 tell you that the total payout you will receive from a successful bet is 1.59 times the amount of your original wager.
- The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 14 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 11 games.
- Festa won’t have to start Wednesday’s game, which could work to his advantage.
- Conversely, Suarez will compete against Bailey Ober of the Twins.
- Our top pick for the Phillies vs. Twins game on Wednesday is to bet on the Twins moneyline (+132).
- Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.
- However, their 25th ranking in stolen bases indicates a lack of speed on the basepaths.
The total set at 8 with the OVER at -120 suggests expectations of a relatively high-scoring game, likely influenced by both teams’ slugging capabilities and recent trends. As good as Suarez has been this season, he has allowed 15 earned runs across his past three starts. His hard-hit rate is starting to increase and he issued seven free passes during the three-start stretch. As good as Suarez has been this season, he has allowed 15 earned runs in his last three starts. The hard hits are starting to rise and he has made seven free throws in three starts.